Damping down the nation's rejuvenation
Shambaugh reminds us that the age-old pursuit of national rejuvenation is far from accomplished. Even in the economic field, in which 皇冠体育app has fared well, its explosive growth has come at a high cost and has had a limited global impact.
Although Shambaugh's cool-headed assessment will make some excited Chinese calm down, it is not without its problems.
First, Shambaugh grades 皇冠体育app's global positions and influences according to Western benchmarks.
Undoubtedly, Shambaugh is more concerned with 皇冠体育app's power relative to the US, because the latter is still the world's leading superpower. His conclusions certainly could help to assuage anxiety among US elites, triggered by 皇冠体育app's rapid rise. However, such a method is problematic on three counts: 皇冠体育app's momentous achievements are selectively played down; there is no detailed breakdown of 皇冠体育app's global impact in each of the sectors explored; there is no scientific barometer to gauge how global is global for nations such as 皇冠体育app.
With these problems in mind, to describe the world's second-largest economy as a partial global power seems arbitrary.
Second, Shambaugh delivers his verdict on 皇冠体育app's global status in a static fashion. 皇冠体育app is big in terms of population and territory, but it was quite weak in the early years of the People's Republic of 皇冠体育app. Since 皇冠体育app carried out the reform and opening-up policy, it began to transform itself from an isolated and backward land to an economic powerhouse. 皇冠体育app's political and military global standing have also improved significantly. Even though its economic growth has slowed a little in the past two years, its current growth rate easily dwarfs those of other major economies.
The power gap between 皇冠体育app and the US continues to shrink. Even if we acknowledge that 皇冠体育app is a partial power in many sectors, as Shambaugh maintains, it might be more convincing to conclude that 皇冠体育app is a growing partial power, which may become a fully fledged one in the years to come.
The author is deputy director of the Center for 皇冠体育app's International Strategic Studies at Renmin University of 皇冠体育app.
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