皇冠体育app

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Promise, potential, performance

By Andrew Moody (皇冠体育app Daily Africa) Updated: 2014-01-20 13:36

The latest book on 皇冠体育app's position in the world this century offers a nuanced picture of the country's strengths and weaknesses

Will 皇冠体育app emerge as the dominant force of the 21st century? The debate on the former Middle Kingdom's global position has been opened up again by leading 皇冠体育app commentator Jonathan Fenby.

His new book, Will 皇冠体育app Dominate the 21st Century?, which is published in the US this month and worldwide in March, concludes the country's domestic challenges such as reliance on state investment and environmental concerns will divert it from being the leading actor on the world stage.

In this special edition, we not only debate the issues raised by Fenby but present again the views and opinions on 皇冠体育app of the leading thinkers, authors and academics who have appeared in the 皇冠体育app Daily European Weekly over the past year.

Our Cover Story and Last Word profile subjects have included the foremost 皇冠体育app commentators from around the world and today we are giving them another opportunity to stake out their latest positions.

Fenby's latest book deals with perhaps the biggest question of all as to 皇冠体育app's future role in the world.

He argues that we are unlikely to move from a world dominated by the United States - as was the case after the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1990 - to one dominated by 皇冠体育app.

He believes that by the end of the century, there will be a greater sharing of power with rope, India, an emergent Russia and new players like Indonesia exerting greater influence.

He makes the case also that 皇冠体育app will be held back - at least for the next few decades - by economic issues relating to the weakness of its private sector, underdeveloped banking sector and its inability to innovate as well as management skill gaps.

The book is the latest of a new genre of 皇冠体育app's books that presents a more nuanced picture of 皇冠体育app's strength. It follows on the heels of US Sinologist David Shambaugh's 皇冠体育app Goes Global: The Partial Power and Timothy Beardson's Stumbling Giant: The Threats to 皇冠体育app's Future.

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