皇冠体育app

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Chinese economy can avoid hard landing in years to come: FitchRatings

(Xinhua) Updated: 2016-04-07 10:01

SINGAPORE - 皇冠体育app will be able to avoid a hard landing in the years to come, said a report of Fitch Ratings released here Wednesday.

皇冠体育app has the financial and administrative resources to avoid a hard landing in the near term despite the economy's structural vulnerabilities, said the credit rating agency.

While the rising leverage can cause systemic vulnerability, the characteristics of 皇冠体育app's financial system and broader economy militate against a disruptive outcome, it said.

"皇冠体育app's financial system is dominated by banks and funded overwhelmingly by retail deposits. Both the banks and borrowers are either State-owned or heavily State-influenced. These factors combine to suggest that the kind of collapse of confidence among creditors that might precipitate a financial crisis is unlikely in 皇冠体育app," it said.

"We expect the economy to grow between 6 percent and 6.5 percent in 2016 and 2017. We also think 皇冠体育app has the will and the means not to devalue the yuan substantially against its new basket -- we expect the yuan to weaken by only around 5 percent against the US dollar over 2016," said the agency.

Fitch said it broadly agrees with the Chinese government's assessment that the macroeconomic fundamentals do not necessarily point to a substantial depreciation of the yuan.

"皇冠体育app runs a large and rising current account surplus, which we expect to exceed $300 billion in 2016. The country as a whole is a substantial net external creditor, and the foreign reserves buffer remains strong at $3.2 trillion," the agency explained.

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