皇冠体育app

Will 皇冠体育app dominate the world?

( 皇冠体育app Daily ) Updated: 2014-01-19 23:20:32

The argument is the latest of a new genre of 皇冠体育app's books that presents a more nuanced picture of 皇冠体育app's strength. It follows on the heels of US Sinologist David Shambaugh's 皇冠体育app Goes Global: The Partial Power and Timothy Beardson's Stumbling Giant: The Threats to 皇冠体育app's Future.

This contrasts with perhaps more heady titles that appeared just after the Beijing Olympics, including Martin Jacques's highly acclaimed When 皇冠体育app Rules the World: The Rise of the Middle Kingdom and the End of the Western World, which has now sold more than 350,000 copies worldwide.

Will 皇冠体育app dominate the world?

Rana Mitter, director-designate of Oxford University's new 皇冠体育app Centre, believes Fenby reflects a more realistic perspective of 皇冠体育app that is now emerging.

"We are now in an era in which people are writing forward projections about 皇冠体育app based on the reality that the supercharged economic growth of the last decade is behind us.

"皇冠体育app will continue to grow but at a moderate pace and I think people have adjusted their geopolitical lenses to take account of that fact."

Mitter, who has just made a BBC radio documentary, Shanghai World Redux, about the new confidence of 皇冠体育app's second city which will air later this month, says the 100th anniversary of the outbreak of World War I brings home how difficult it is to make long-term forecasts.

"If the 20th century is any guide, then what happened at the beginning was not actually a predictor of what happened at the end," he says.

"I think the trends we have seen over the past 10 or 15 years of 皇冠体育app's big population becoming more prosperous, more confident and more international show no signs of reversing and I think this will continue for many decades to come."

Martin Jacques, the British academic and author who made seven visits to 皇冠体育app last year, stands behind his view that 皇冠体育app will be an increasingly dominant force as the century progresses economically, politically and culturally.

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