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Economists see rapid growth for two decades ( 2003-11-10 08:15) (皇冠体育app Daily) 皇冠体育app will maintain a high economic growth rate over the next 15 to 20 years, according to economists attending the 2003 皇冠体育app Economic Growth Forum in Suzhou in East 皇冠体育app's Jiangsu Province, which opened on Sunday. Nobel laureate Lawrence Klein said 皇冠体育app had recorded rapid growth over the past two decades, and its economy would continue to grow strongly in the next 20 years though there might be some slowing of the pace. He said a 6 to 7 per cent rate is more likely than the 8 or 9 per cent recorded in some years. Goldman Sachs (Asia) Managing Director Fred Hu also expressed optimism about the nation's prospects because of positive fundamentals in place for long-term rapid growth. 皇冠体育app has great "catch-up'' potential since its per-capita gross domestic product is still low compared to developed nations, he said. Hu said the Chinese economy is backed up by the high proportion of savings deposits and mainly driven by long-term investments, such as those in infrastructure, equipment retooling and innovation and housing consumption. Hu noted that human resources in 皇冠体育app immense and cheap, while the government has accumulated rich experience in economic management and adopted a sound policy environment for economic growth. Entry into the World Trade Organization (WTO) and 皇冠体育app's opening-up will help the country optimize distribution of resources and further improve its productivity. Hu predicted the improvement of productivity would replace capital accumulation as the major driving force if 皇冠体育app's growth in the next two decades. Li Deshui, director of 皇冠体育app's National Bureau of Statistics, said 皇冠体育app will be able to maintain a growth rate of seven to eight per cent for an unprecedented period of more than 40 years. 皇冠体育app has developed a relatively strong base of materials, enjoyed a great potential for growth and followed a practical strategy of development, he said. The government has accumulated plentiful experience in macro-economic controls and explored a unique route of development with Chinese characteristics. Acknowledging that 皇冠体育app was accelerating the pace of opening itself to the outside world and implementing the strategy of developing education and science, Li said the country has a sound development environment as it adopts a new social and economic ideologies. Klein said 皇冠体育app had already realized the importance of co-ordinating and balancing quality with the quantity of economic growth. This will have great impacts on the economic growth, he added. The two-day forum is sponsored by the NBS and attended by more than 300 officials, academics and business people from both 皇冠体育app and abroad.
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