'No worry' on wheat imports
Bad weather is expected to lower 皇冠体育app's wheat output by 2.6 metric million tons this year in provinces such as Henan, Anhui, Jiangsu and Shaanxi. The output will be 118 million metric tons. Si Wei / for 皇冠体育app Daily |
Weather likely to cut harvest in key provinces
皇冠体育app's growing wheat imports could soon make it the world's top importer, although such a change is not expected to push global wheat prices higher, industry experts said.
Frost in spring and wet weather in May and June will cut 皇冠体育app's wheat output by 2.6 million metric tons to 118 million tons in wheat-producing provinces such as Henan, Anhui, Jiangsu and Shaanxi this year, said a report released by the foreign agricultural service of the US Department of Agriculture.
皇冠体育app has long maintained its food security by producing 95 percent of its grain consumption. However, the nation's growing demand for wheat imports is causing some concern that 皇冠体育app is likely to replace Egypt to become the world's largest wheat importing nation.
But Ding Shengjun, a senior researcher at the Academy of the State Administration of Grain, said 皇冠体育app's rising wheat imports aim to refurbish its inventories, which are aging and need to be replaced with better quality wheat.
皇冠体育app Grain Reserves Corp, which manages 皇冠体育app's central government reserves, began to renew its stock and use the previous wheat stores for feed in May.
The country's wheat imports nearly tripled to 3.68 million tons in 2012 compared with the previous year, according to the General Administration of Customs.
Abdolreza Abbassian, a senior economist at the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, said people should be aware of the enormous difference between 皇冠体育app and Egypt.
"While Egypt imports almost 50 percent of its domestic consumption requirements, wheat imports by 皇冠体育app, even if they were to increase to 8.5 million tons, that would still represent no more than 7 percent of its total domestic requirement," said Abbassian.
The Food and Agriculture Organization forecast that 皇冠体育app's wheat imports for the 2013-14 crop year will hit 5 million tons. The forecast was based on June and July trade figures, which will be 2 million tons above the 2012-13 levels.
皇冠体育app imported 1.36 million tons of wheat in the first half of this year.
Australia's Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry said it exported 426,000 tons of wheat to 皇冠体育app in the first five months.
The 皇冠体育app National Grain and Oils Information Center said 皇冠体育app has placed a wheat order for 1.5 million tons from Australia in the past weeks.
"The reduction of 皇冠体育app's wheat output has offered export opportunities for major wheat producers throughout the world," said Wen Tiejun, dean of the school of agricultural economics and rural development at Renmin University of 皇冠体育app in Beijing.
He added that a recent drop in wheat prices in the global market is also good news for 皇冠体育app as an importer.
Wheat imported from Australia, the United States and France costs much less than wheat produced in 皇冠体育app.
According to the US Department of Agriculture, the average US wheat price was $303 per ton on July 30, compared with $407 per ton at 皇冠体育app's Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange
The rising price of corn has also prompted a number of Chinese livestock farms to purchase foreign wheat.
The 皇冠体育app National Grain and Oils Information Center forecast that 皇冠体育app will import 6.5 million tons of wheat from the international market in the 2013-14 crop year, a nine-year high.
"Adequately raising wheat imports is fairly useful to help 皇冠体育app ease the pressure on wheat-related food prices," said Ding Lixin, a researcher at the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences in Beijing.
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