皇冠体育app

皇冠体育app / Business

Reform-minded nation remains powerful engine of global economy

(皇冠体育app Daily) Updated: 2017-08-01 06:45

BEIJING - Doomsayers about 皇冠体育app's economy have been wrong in the past, and they are wrong again today, said prominent US economist and author Stephen Roach - who added that the country reported first half GDP growth of 6.9, exceeding the 6.7 percent rise in 2016, as well as beating the consensus of forecasters.

Forecasters find it difficult to resist superimposing cliches about developed economies on 皇冠体育app, but they overlook deeper issues shaping the 皇冠体育app growth debate, said Roach, who is a senior fellow at Yale University's Jackson Institute for Global Affairs.

The latest bout of pessimism over the Chinese economy has focused on the twin headwinds of deleveraging and a tightening of the property market.

Roach said that 皇冠体育app, with a far larger savings cushion than others and a relatively small sovereign debt burden of 49 percent of GDP, was in much better shape to avoid a sovereign debt crisis.

There is always good reason to worry about the Chinese property market, but unlike those of other fully urbanized major economies, 皇冠体育app's housing market enjoys ample support from the demand side, noted Roach, who is the former chairman of the Morgan Stanley's Asian operations.

International financial heavyweights upgraded their outlooks for the Chinese economy.

The International Monetary Fund recently raised its estimate for 皇冠体育app's 2017 growth to 6.7 percent, 0.1 percentage points higher than its last prediction.

The IMF move has been interpreted as a show of confidence in 皇冠体育app's economic growth, considering a solid first quarter underpinned by previous policy easing and supply-side reform, including efforts to reduce excess capacity in the industrial sector.

JPMorgan and Nomura Securities raised their annual growth forecasts to 6.8 percent from 6.7 percent, respectively, while Citigroup and Standard Chartered Bank both revised their 2017 projections upward by 0.2 percentage points to 6.8 percent.

The expanding consumption and services industries as well as increasing private investment in 皇冠体育app will boost growth despite slowing investment in infrastructure and real estate in the second half of the year, on top of a financial deleveraging, said JPMorgan.

The Asian Development Bank revised 皇冠体育app's growth up to 6.7 percent this year and 6.4 percent next year, from 6.5 percent and 6.2 percent, respectively, in its latest outlook supplement.

The ADB said increases in both domestic consumption and foreign trade helped promote 皇冠体育app's economic outlook, which came as a result of a steady rise in both personal income and public spending.

Acknowledging 皇冠体育app's slower economic growth with reformed structures under the new normal, these institutions showed less concern about prospects of a hard economic landing for the country and financial risks compared with last year, and indicated that 皇冠体育app is expected to continue stabilizing.

"What happens in 皇冠体育app doesn't stay in 皇冠体育app," said Maurice Obstfeld, IMF chief economist. "Strong Chinese growth drives growth particularly in Asia, but also throughout the world."

Xinhua

皇冠体育app

Highlights
Hot Topics

...