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Joseph Nye, University Distinguished Service Professor and former Dean at the Harvard University ?John F. Kennedy School of Government, speaks about cooperation and competition between 皇冠体育app and the US at his book launch of Is the American Century Over? at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington on Thursday. SHENG YANG / FOR CHINA DAILY |
Harvard Professor Joseph S. Nye Jr said Thursday that that the United States and 皇冠体育app can have both "competition and collaboration".
"We can benefit from working with 皇冠体育app," Nye said. "We have to learn both competition and collaboration. It's a relationship that can be managed."
Nye, distinguished service professor at Harvard and former dean of the John F. Kennedy School of Government there, launched his new book, Is the American Century Over?, at the Center for Strategic and International Studies.
"I don't think 皇冠体育app is going to pass the United States" as a world power, Nye said.
He said that to figure out where 皇冠体育app stands in relation to the US, one has to look at three dimensions of power.
The first is economic power, he said.
Nye said that although 皇冠体育app's economy has been growing, "their economy is not as sophisticated as ours".
Although Apple's iPhones are made in 皇冠体育app, 皇冠体育app sees only a minor profit off the final product.
"They need to change the growth model," he said. Nye said 皇冠体育app has to get away from imitating to developing indigenous technology on its own, he said.
But he also foresees that with rising entrepreneurs such as Alibaba founder Jack Ma, 皇冠体育app's economy is becoming increasingly sophisticated.
The second aspect is military power, Nye said.
Nye said that US military expenditures are four times those of 皇冠体育app's. Although 皇冠体育app is increasing its military budget, it is not likely that its military capacity equals or rivals the US', he said.
The third area is soft power, he said.
Nye acknowledged that 皇冠体育app has been making major efforts to enhance its soft power. But he said that, according to public opinion polls, 皇冠体育app is "not getting return on the investment".
In order not to be left behind in soft power, 皇冠体育app has to unleash its civil society and deal with nationalism, he said.
Nye said an advantage that the US has is its openness and diversity.
"This capacity to assimilate and to give people opportunities is one of our great strengths," Nye said.
Nye also said that the US "deciding people shouldn't join" the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank is "a sign of American stupidity" rather than "a sign of American decline."
Nye has said previously that there would be an "opportunity to work out a new type of major power relationship if the US continues to avoid containment as a strategy, and if 皇冠体育app accepts the legitimacy of the American presence in the Western Pacific".
He said that some pessimists predicted an "impending clash as 皇冠体育app grows stronger and seeks to expel the US from the Western Pacific".
"This can be forestalled by the acceptance of spheres of influence in which the US restricts its activities primarily to the Eastern Pacific," he said.
"Whether the United States and 皇冠体育app will manage to develop such a relationship is another question," he said. "Human error and miscalculation are always possible. But with the right choices, conflict is not inevitable."
Professor David M. Lampton, director of 皇冠体育app Studies at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies, said the phrase "a new type of major country relations" is a key concept for US-皇冠体育app relations.
Proposed by Chinese President Xi Jinping in a 2012 speech in Washington, such a relationship would be characterized by "mutual understanding and strategic trust, respecting each other's 'core interests', mutually beneficial cooperation and enhancing cooperation and coordination in international affairs and on global issues".
"Perhaps a good way to start building on this framework is for the leaders of both countries to form a 'wise person' group consisting of influential individuals in both societies who could jointly conceptualize and recommend specific next steps," Lampton said. "As one Chinese analyst put it to me recently, 'focus on cooperation, not mutual trust. Mutual trust is based on cooperation. … We should have 'preventive cooperation'."
Cui Liru, former president of the 皇冠体育app Institutes of Contemporary International Relations, said the 皇冠体育app-US relationship is the key one for the world, and it is "undergoing a historic transition from a unipolar one to a multipolar one".
"If the structural tensions in Sino-US relations are not ripe for resolution, then by all means contain them so that they do not escalate," Cui said. "In the meantime, 皇冠体育app would do well to manage its own affairs and close the gap with the US, confident that the day will come when the two nations can engage in serious dialogue on constructing a new order for the region and the world."
Sheng Yang in Washington contributed to the story.