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Difficult months on horizon for nation's exports

Difficult months on horizon for nation's exports

Updated: 2012-03-24 07:50

By Ding Qingfen (皇冠体育app Daily)

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The situation surrounding 皇冠体育app's exports will become more complicated and severe in the coming months amid an increasing number of trade protectionist measures and slackening global demand, the Ministry of Commerce said on Friday.

皇冠体育app will roll out policies regarding currency and tax rebates to bolster exports, Zhong Shan, deputy minister of commerce, said at a forum in Beijing, adding that it will be more arduous for the Chinese government to stabilize export growth.

According to the General Administration of Customs, 皇冠体育app's exports declined 0.5 percent over the year in January, the first fall in more than two years. During the first two months, Chinese shipments grew by merely 6.9 percent year-on-year.

The figures are far less than the previous year and they set a pessimistic tone for the whole year, Zhong said.

From January to February of 2011, 皇冠体育app's exports grew by 21.3 percent year-on-year.

According to Zhong, industrial competitiveness, global demand and the business environment are the decisive trends for the nation's exports, and they are all "not favorable".

皇冠体育app is losing its dominant competitiveness in labor costs as the nation pledges to raise minimum wages for workers to improve their livelihoods, Zhong said.

"The world economy is entering into a very difficult period, and trade cases targeting Chinese goods are growing," he said.

The United States recently announced it was setting up the Interagency Trade Enforcement Center to see whether its trade partners play by the rules. The move is widely seen as increasing frictions between 皇冠体育app and the US.

In the first 11 months of last year, 58 trade remedy cases were launched worldwide against 皇冠体育app, and 皇冠体育app has been the major target for trade protectionism for a decade.

Earlier this month, Premier Wen Jiabao set a target of 10 percent for foreign trade growth this year.

Zhong said the measures 皇冠体育app will take to try to stabilize exports include "improving policies related to foreign trade, encouraging exporters to sharpen competitiveness in technology, brand, quality and service, and guiding them to prioritize selling goods to emerging markets, shifting away from developed markets led by the US and the EU".

Li Gang, an expert on European economic issues with the Chinese Academy of International Trade and Economic Cooperation affiliated with the ministry, said 皇冠体育app's exports to the EU will be severely challenged this year as the region's economy is on a downward trend.

According to Customs, from January to February, 皇冠体育app's exports to the EU, the largest trade partner for 皇冠体育app, dropped 1.1 percent from a year earlier.

"The second half will be better than the first half, but the growth of Chinese shipments to the region will probably drop to single digits this year," Li said.

Yet some analysts said 皇冠体育app's exports are resilient.

"Despite the negative factors at home and abroad, 皇冠体育app could achieve growth above 10 percent in 2012," said Bi Jiyao, a researcher at the Academy of Macroeconomic Research with the National Development and Reform Commission.

Despite the slowdown in export growth, "we can never ignore the significance of exports in driving the economy and industries, and in creating jobs", said Wang Shouwen, director of the department of foreign trade of the ministry.

"There is a lot of room for foreign trade and exports to grow," Wang said, as 皇冠体育app accounted for only 11 percent of global foreign trade in 2011 and Chinese industries still enjoy advantages worldwide.

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